NZD/USD soars above the 0.6300 mark following the New Zealand CPI


  • NZD/USD attracts some buying and soars above 0.6300 following the New Zealand data. 
  • The US Retail Sales and Industrial Production showed mixed results, US Dollar bouncing off a 15-month low. 
  • The New Zealand Consumer Price Index (CPI) QoQ rose 1.1%, better than the expectation of 1%.

The NZD/USD pair attracts some buying during the Asian session on Tuesday and edges higher near 0.6285. The uptick in the major pair is backed by the weakening US Dollar broadly and the latest New Zealand Consumer Price Index (CPI) figure.

The US Federal Reserve reported on Tuesday that Industrial Production fell 0.5% in June for the second consecutive month. This figure was lower than the market expected of no change. Meanwhile, Retail Sales increased 0.2% MoM from June to $689.5 billion, according to figures released by the US Census Bureau. This report came in below the market consensus of a 0.5% gain. On the other hand, the 0.3% figure reported in May got revised higher to 0.5%. The US Dollar Index (DXY) initially dropped to a 15-month low following the mixed data before bouncing off near the 99.55 area. 

Market players anticipate that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is nearing the end of its policy tightening cycle and will maintain interest rates following the widely anticipated 25 basis points (bps) in the July meeting. This, in turn, leads to the prevailing selling of the US Dollar (USD).

On the New Zealand Dollar front, the latest data by Statistics New Zealand revealed on Wednesday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) QoQ rose 1.1% against the prior release of 1.2% and better than the expectation of 1%. The annualized CPI rose by 6%, above the market estimate of 5.9% versus 6.7% prior. This data is likely to influence the RBNZ’s interest rate decision, which has an impact on the NZD’s valuation. 

On the other hand, the softer Chinese Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the second quarter has worried investors about the economy’s prospects. It is worth noting that New Zealand is one of China’s major trading partners, and China’s disappointing growth prospects have an impact on the Kiwi.

Moving on, eyes will be on US Housing Starts later in the day and Unemployment Claims on Thursday. The Fed has entered its blackout period ahead of the July 25–26 meeting. Investors will digest the data and find a clear NZD/USD pair direction.